Real Dream Team NBA – Schedule Analysis – Week 13

By
Updated: January 13, 2020

Mid January can be a bit of a drag when it comes to RDT NBA. The fun and excitement of a new season is gone, trade period is yet to heat up, Eliminator hasn’t started yet, and we are now just swapping around premiums trying to maximise our scores. It also doesn’t help that BBL is now in full swing, and AFL Fantasy is starting to ramp up with price reveals and mock teams/drafts starting to become more prevalent.

So how do you keep up the effort and energy required to keep logging back in each Monday night to do your 3 trades, and keep up with all the comings and goings in the NBA? Injuries this year seem to have hit harder than previous years, and it is almost a full time job just keeping up with those!

There is no grand prize at the end, for either the overall winner, league champion or Eliminator winner (thought hopefully one day Sportsdeck will provide one). All that is left is one thing – BRAGGING RIGHTS!! Having one over your mates, or other people in your leagues is the most fun. If your mates are stating to fade with their enthusiasm, start some banter. Tell that their team sucks more than the Atlanta Hawks, or that their coaching strategy is worse than the New York Knicks. If you are on the receiving end of the banter, just store it in the back of your mind for future reference, maybe when you meet up in League Finals.

To help give you the edge over your mates, information is key. Fortunately we have done the hard work for you, and can provide you with an up to date (as of the Detroit v Chicago game on Sunday) table of which teams are scoring well, and which teams are not. We have done this both over the season as a whole, and over the last 10 games so that you can see if one team is hitting a rich vein of form.

POINTS FOR

This table show us which teams are scoring the most points. It is no surprise to see the Lakers and Bucks at the top of the table. Lebron, AD and Giannis have been absolute Fantasy beasts this year. What is a bit of an eyebrow raiser is the scoring of the San Antonio Spurs. There are no ‘must have’ Fantasy players on their roster that you 100% need to have in your team when they have a 4 game week. They have two players (LaMarcus Aldridge and Demar DeRozan) averaging over 20 points per game, but Aldridge, who is the higher of the two, is still only sitting at 25.3, not enough for a premium player. They also have 5 players who are averaging between 10 and 20 Fantasy points per game, which would be pushing their overall scoring up.

One of the interesting teams to look at are the Memphis Grizzlies. They are 4th in the season overall, but dropped to 26th over the last 10 games. This is indicative of a young team struggling to keep up with the grind of an 82 games season. Ja Morant and Brandon Clarke have done well for us, but their big scores are getting farther apart as the season progresses.

POINTS AGAINST

These tables are potentially even more useful than the ‘Points For’ table. This shows which teams are giving up the most points to their opponents. It is no shock to see NBA cellar dwellers Washington, Cleveland and Atlanta at the top of the season chart. Detroit’s poor injury luck recently shows with the Pistons topping the list for the last 10 games. Having Blake Griffin out indefinitely and Andre Drummond missing a couple of games has stripped the team of their two best rim protectors.

 


Schedule Breakdown

8 Game Teams

The next two weeks have a massive variance in 4 game weeks. This week (13) we have just 9 teams with 8 games, making it tough to get the maximum amount of games on the court. This flips around next week (14) however, with an enormous 20 teams on an 8 game week.

Week 13 will also prove difficult with a lack of marquee players with 4 games. The top scoring players we have available to us will be limited to Ben Simmons, Hassan Whiteside and Damian Lillard. Karl-Anthony Towns and Joel Embiid are currently out injured. Towns may be back in time for tip off of Week 13, so as always, keep an eye on the injury report.

We then look at players that can score well, but are also inconsistent, with a score in the teens just as likely as a score in the 30’s. Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward and Jaylen Brown are available from Boston, who have the added benefit of a 4 game week next week. If you want to ride the rollercoaster, you can also look at Zach LaVine from Chicago, Domantas Sabonis from Indiana, OKC’s rejuvenated Chris Paul, Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic and Portland’s CJ McCollum.

Boston (Chi, Det, @Mil, Pho) – Jayson Tatum did drop a 50 point game in Week 12, but don’t think he can do that every game! He has also thrown up score of 12, 11 and 22.

Chicago (@Bos, Was, @Phi, Cle) – Honestly, just don’t go Zach LaVine, it’s not worth the stress!

Indiana (Phi, @Min, Min, @Den) – There is talk that All-Star Victor Oladipo will return shortly. If he does return, he is likely to be on a minutes restriction, and may even rest on back to back games. I would be very cautious bringing him straight back in.

Minnesota (OKC, Ind, @Ind, Tor) – KAT has missed the last couple of weeks with a knee injury, but is close to returning. They don’t have another game this week, and play on the first day of Week 13, so you should know if he is out again before lockout on Tuesday Morning.

Oklahoma City (@Min, Tor, Mia, Por) – Chris Paul is truly winding back the clock and has turned what should have been a bottom team into a playoff contender. CP3 is really the only Thunder player you want to look at though, and even then, he is only averaging 22Fppg

Orlando (@Sac, @LAL, @LAC, @GSW) – Orlando has been decimated by injury, with Jonathon Isaac and Al-Farouq Amino out for (probably) the rest of the season. You can have a look at Vucevic, but you may get more value out of a high scoring 3 game player.

 


Oh Captain, My Captain!

Last Week’s Selection – Giannis Antetokounmpo

Predicted Avg – 38

Actual Scores – 38, 31, 18, 39

With a lack of superstar options with 4 games this week, I am going to recommend a 3 game player for the first time this season. Sophomore sensation Luka Doncic and his Dallas Mavericks play the understrength Warriors, and the Sacramento Kings on the road, before a home game against the Portland Trailblazers. I’m hoping Luka wants to put the loss to Lebron James and the Lakers behind him and bounce back for a massive week.

Ben Simmons (Phi)

Damian Lillard (Por)

Hassan Whiteside (Por)

James Harden (Hou)

Luka Doncic (Dal)

LeBron James (LAL)

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Mil)

Keeler’s Captain Choice – Luka Doncic (Dal)

Predicted Average – 41

Embed from Getty Images

 


Join our OTLS Monster Leagues

Real Dream Team NBA – 980678

BBL Supercoach – 327429


Written by Archie Keeler (@OTLSArchie)

Header graphic by Corey Wade Media (@CWade_Creative)

Click here to download all the latest OTLS Podcasts from iTunes.

Send us a Mailbag question to afleditor@otls.com.au

Like our OTLS Facebook Page!
Follow us @OTLSAUS on Twitter!
Join our OTLS Facebook Group!

Don’t forget to join the OTLS Facebook Group for all the latest breaking news, Fantasy/Supercoach advice and general discussion AFL, BBL, NBA and more!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *