Real Dream Team NBA – Schedule Analysis – Week 4

Updated: November 9, 2019

After the excitement of the opening few weeks, we are now settling into the day to day grind of an 82 game NBA season. We are starting to get an idea now of the Fantasy performance of our players. As always, there have been a few surprises, and many disappointments. Below are the top 10 scorers for RDT NBA (average) through the first two weeks.

Andre Drummond (Det) – 39.9 Fppg

Karl-Anthony Towns (Min) – 39.5

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Mil) – 39.3

Anthony Davis (LAL) – 35.7

DeAndre Ayton (Pho) – 34.0

Luka Doncic (Dal) – 33.7

Kawhi Leonard (LAC) – 33.2

LeBron James (LAL) – 32.8

Damian Lillard (Por) – 32.7

Kyrie Irving (Bkn) – 32.0

With the exception of Deandre Ayton, who played just 1 game before receiving a 25 games suspension for testing positive to a banned substance, there are no surprises in the list. It is pleasing to see second year player Doncic continue to improve, and if it were not for injury, Trae Young (Atl) could have been pushing to join his 2018 draft compatriot in the top 10.

Andre Drummond is leading the way on the back of a stellar start to the season on the back of a massive 18.6 rebounds per game. If he did nothing else in the game, he would still be the 70th best averaging player!! Not content with leading the lead in rebounds, Drummond is also 6th in the league for blocked shots and is top 25 in points per game. Keep an eye on news of Blake Griffin’s return however, as this will likely impact his point and rebounding returns..

Schedule Breakdown

8 Game Teams

Once again there are only a few teams with 8 game weeks. From next week, each team will have played at least 10 games, which means the Weekly Opponent Difficulty (WOD) will return for the 2019/20 season. More info on that exciting statistic next week.

You will also need to take note that Milwaukee only has 2 games this week, so as good has he has been, it is time to off-load Giannis.

Houston (@NOR, LAC, Ind, @Min) – The Rockets have been great for Fantasy this season, not necessarily the Rockets themselves, but the teams they are playing against. They are giving up the most team Fppg (156 in games through to Friday), which is 6 Fppg more than the next worst (best?) team. This includes games against Washington (194 points conceded) and two games later against Miami (193 points conceded).

Both Russell Westbrook and James Harden have been performing well for coaches that selected them, averaging over 28 Fppg each. The value selection for the Rockets is Forward PJ Tucker. He is averaging 19.5 Fppg over the first 2 weeks, and scored 31 points against Golden State in his only game so far in Week 3. We will be priced around $7.5m for Week 4, and will be jumping up in price significantly assuming his form continues.

LA Clippers (Tor, @Hou, NOR, Atl) – Once again the Kawhi Leonard ‘resting’ issue has been thrown to the forefront of NBA media. He is not playing in back to back games, and the medical information from the Clippers has been ticked off by the NBA. Coach Doc Rivers came out this week and said Kawhi was ‘fine’ in a poorly worded statement that cost the team $50,000 in fines.

As good as Leonard has been, the fact that he is not playing back to backs makes it hard to select him in RDT NBA. You can find premium players each week that are around the same price who will play the full 4 games.

Montrezl Harrell has also been good for Fantasy coaches on the back of solid shooting numbers. Harrell is averaging 20.4ppg on 67.6% Field Goal %. He has seen a massive uplift in minutes, averaging 10 more mpg than his career average of 19.5. This has resulted in a 22.4 Fppg average through the first 2 weeks. He is awkwardly priced (Week 4 price will be around $11m) however, but is a good option if you don’t quite have enough cash for a full premium player.

New Orleans (Hou, LAC, @Mia, GSW) – We are still yet to see much hyped Number 1 draft pick Zion Williamson pull on the Pelicans jersey in the regular season. The latest report is that he won’t return until at least early December.His absence has meant much of the offense has been run through Brandon Ingram, who was aquired along with Lonzo Ball in the Anthony Davis trade from the LA Lakers. Ingram has been a Fantasy beast so far, averaging 26 Fppg in the first 2 weeks of the season, and will still be priced around $10m in Week 4. If you are choosing between Harrell and Ingram, you would take Ingram every day of the week, at least until Williamson starts playing.

New Orleans also have a pretty good run this week, with games against Houston (giving up big points) and Golden State (G-League team).

San Antonio (Mem, @Min, @Orl, Por) – Greg Popovich has the Spurs doing Spur things once again. Currently sitting in 7th spot in the Western Conference, they will once again be in the playoff mix come the end of the season. This is largely due to the return from injury of Point Guard Dejounte Murray. Murray has averaged 24.8 Fppg in the first two weeks to easily be the highest averaging Spur. He is also very cheap, priced at just over $6m. There is an element of risk in selecting him, as he has already missed one game with the dreaded ‘load management’.


Oh Captain, My Captain!

Last Week’s Selection – Giannis Antetokounmpo 

Predicited Avg – 39 Fppg

Actual Avg – 47.5 Fppg (2 games so far)

This week we are blessed with a wealth of Captain options. 4 game weeks for Boston, Houston, Lakers, Minnesota and Philadelphia should provide a wide variety of Captains in RDT NBA. Take note that Ben Simmons is out for 3 games with a shoulder injury, so he will be a no-go this week.

Kemba Walker (Bos)

Russell Westbrook (Hou)

James Harden (Hou)

LeBron James (LAL)

Karl-Anthony Towns (Min)

Joel Embiid (Phi)

Keeler’s Captain Choice – Anthony Davis (LAL)

Predicted Average – 42

The Lakers play Phoenix, Golden State, Sacramento and Atlanta this week. Two of those teams (Phoenix and Atlanta) are missing key big men due to suspension who would normally be used to guard Davis. GOlden State and Sacramento have been hit by the injury bug, and are playing with depleted lineups. This means that Davis should go huge – assuming he can stay injury free (he has already had multiple injury concerns this season, requiring him to receive treatment during the game – including a sore ear lobe!).

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Written by Archie Keeler (@OTLSArchie)

Header graphic by Corey Wade Media (@CWade_Creative)

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