Real Dream Team NBA – Schedule Analysis – Week 3

By
Updated: November 3, 2019

Has there ever been a worse 6 game stretch than what the Golden State Warriors have experienced recently in the history of the NBA? Let’s take a look back at the last 6 playoff/regular season games that Steve Kerr’s team have been involved in.

Game 5, 2019 NBA Finals – With their backs against the wall, injured superstar Kevin Durant makes a surprise come back from a non-achilles injury* to try to lead the Warriors back from a 3-1 deficit against the Toronto Raptors to complete the rare 3-peat. Even though they got the win in a 106-105 victory to claw their way back into the series, the sight of Durant hobbling off the court having snapped his achilles tendon was a dagger to the heart of warriors fans.

*it was an achilles injury, regardless of what the team says.

Game 6, 2019 NBA finals – If losing Durant in the previous game wasn’t bad enough, the Warriors suffered a second horiffic injury in as many games as Klay Thompson suffered an ACL tear in Game 6. This time however, the Warriors were not able to pull off the win, and the Raptors won the game, the series and the NBA championship.

Game 1, 2019/20 – With no Durant (who left as a Free Agent to Brooklyn over the off-season) or Thompson, the Warriors would be heavily relying on their other two all-stars – Curry and Draymond Green – to get them off to a good start. The Warriors, and Curry in particular, had been impressive in the pre-season, so even though they were missing a lot of talent compared to their previous teams, expectations were positive.

The opening game was against the LA Clippers, who had gone the other way in the off-season, recruiting the 2019 Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard and OKC star Paul George (who did not play due to injury). The Warriors gave up a huge 141 points (30 points minimum points conceded per quarter) in a 19 point loss.

Game 2, 2019/20 – The Warriors were hoping to bounce back in the second game of the season, playing a new look Oklahoma City Thunder team. Now lead by Chris Paul and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder easily disposed of Kerr’s team in a 28 point thumping in OKC.

Game 3, 2019/20 – The Warriors managed to get their first win of the season against a New Orleans Pelicans team missing prized number 1 draft pick Zion Williamson. They won by 9 points on their home court.

Game 4 2019/20 – Hoping to build momentum from their win against the Pelicans, the Warriors faced the Phoenix Suns, a team not expected to be in the running for the Playoffs this season. Not only did they lose by 11 points, they also lost their superstar and leader Steph Curry for at least 1 month (probably 2) with a broken left hand.

I challenge you to find a worse injury run than that in the history of the NBA. To make matters worse, the first game after the loss of Curry was a 17 point loss to the San Antonio Spurs. To add injury to insult, the Warriors have announced that both Draymond Green and off-season acquisition D’Angelo Russell will miss the next game against Charlotte with injury. So let’s compare the starting 5 against Charlotte, vs the Starting 5 in Game 5 of the NBA Finals.

             Finals Game 5        2019/20 v Cha

PG       Steph Curry                Ky Bowman

SG       Klay Thompson         Jordan Poole

SF        Kevin Durant            Glenn Robinson III

PF        Andre Iguodala         Eric Paschall

C          Draymond Green     Willie Cauley-Stein

 

.


Schedule Breakdown

 

8 Game Teams

Even thought they both have 4 game weeks, keep in mind that both Karl-Anthony Towns (Min) and Joel Embiid (Phi) will miss the first game of the week through suspension from their ‘fight’.

Atlanta (SAS, Chi, Sac, @Por) – Trae Young has definitely not suffered from a ‘Sophmore Slump’ this season. The second year guard had been scoring at 24 Fppg before getting injured. He may be back for the first game of Week 3, so keep an eye on the injury news if you are considering bringing him in. Rookies Cam Reddish and De’Andre Hunter have not set the world on fire in Fantasy. I wouldn’t be comfortable starting either of them on your court, but if you have them on your bench, you could hold them for this week.

Golden State (Por, @Hou, @Min, @OKC) – As mentioned above, the Warriors have been decimated by injuries. Whilst it is expected that D’Angelo Russell and Draymond Green will return soon, you will be able to find better value. Throw in the fact that they play 4 very tough teams, 3 of those on the road, and you would want to stay away from Warriors players.

Memphis (Hou, Min, @Orl, Dal) – The value for Memphis is with their rookies. Both Ja Morant and Brandon Clarke have been scoring very well, and you could justifiably start both of them in Week 3.

Minnesota (Mil, @Mem, GSW, Den) – Any other week Karl-Anthony Towns would be a lock, and probably a number 1 captain choice. He will miss the first game of this week due to suspension, so the question then becomes “Can KAT score more in 3 games than another option can do in 4?” Given that Minnesota have 4 games in Week 4 also, it could be a good point of difference to grab him this week, and save a trade next week.

Philadelphia (@Pho, @Uta, @Den, Char) – Joel Embiid is in the same position as KAT, missing the first game of Week 3 with suspension. Ben Simmons is the popular name for the Sixers, however don’t forget to have a look at Tobias Harris also. He averaged 30Fppg in Week 1, and has scores of 13, 20 and 33 in Week 2 games. He will be priced around $11m so could also be a value pick up for you.

 


Oh Captain, My Captain!

Last Week’s Selection – Steph Curry – Scores – 37 (NOP), 14 (Pho – injured)

There is a lack of 4 game captain options this week, so don’t be surprised if you see a 3 game player score the most points in Week 3. That being said, the Greek Freak will be the most popular selection, and rightfully so. Giannis averaged 44Fppg in Week 1, and has continued on that form in Week 2. He plays a KAT-less Minnesota, the Clippers, Utah and OKC.

Karl-Anthony Towns (Min)

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Mil)

Ben Simmons (Phi)

James Harden (Hou)

Keeler’s Captain Choice – Giannis Antetokounmpo (Mil)

Predicted Average – 39Fppg

Embed from Getty Images


Join our OTLS Monster Leagues

Real Dream Team NBA – 980678

BBL Supercoach – Coming Soon


Written by Archie Keeler (@OTLSArchie)

Header graphic by Corey Wade Media (@CWade_Creative)

Click here to download all the latest OTLS Podcasts from iTunes.

Send us a Mailbag question to afleditor@otls.com.au

Like our OTLS Facebook Page!
Follow us @OTLSAUS on Twitter!
Join our OTLS Facebook Group!

Don’t forget to join the OTLS Facebook Group for all the latest breaking news, Fantasy/Supercoach advice and general discussion AFL, BBL, NBA and more!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *