BBL Supercoach Break Evens – Round 5

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Updated: January 3, 2019

So that is round 4 out of the way.  Some huge scores around the traps, and also some pretty poor ones for those that got caught out with players like Peter Handscomb.

What I want to quickly do is just give everybody some peace of mind that the formulas we are using look like they are pretty close to the mark.  As we say we don’t have the exact formula, but after 3 years of testing and tweaking we believe it is pretty close.  So this week we tested 5 players against their scores and this is what we got.

  • Alex Carey, BE 181, Score 89, -$19,200 price change
  • Chris Lynn, BE 121, Score 126, $2,800 price change
  • Marcus Stoinis, BE 114, Score 194, $19,600 price change
  • Dwayne Bravo, BE 82, Score 104, $6,700 price change
  • Ben Dunk, BE 41, Score 40, $300 price change

So Lynn and Dunk were the 2 that were almost smack on their BE, and both seem to be within a point or two of expected.  We cannot take it as an exact, but gee it looks pretty close.

Break Evens

What we have done is worked out – roughly – what the most relevant Break Evens may be going into this round.

Now for the disclaimer: these are not perfect as we do not know the exact formula.  However, we do believe we have it close enough to give us a good idea of what a players’ Break Even may be.  Do not use these as 100% correct, they are to be used as a guide to help you with trading.  Of course there are still other factors to consider, but this is one worth considering too.

The Most Relevant

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This is the week to fix up all those mistakes that you have made.  A week where there is no double games or any byes it is the perfect time to fix up and look to the rest of the season.  However, with that in mind, round 6 sees both the Heat and the Gades have a double game round with no pending byes so keep that in mind.  Also be weary of Finch.  The ODI series starts 12th of January.  The Gades second game in their DGW is the 10th of January.  Traditionally the ODI players will go to camp 3-4 days prior to the first game.  It is highly possible he will miss that second game.

The Bye Team

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As mentioned above, this is the perfect week to fix up any errors you have made and had to deal with.  Finally for me it is goodbye David Willey.  Plus, even better news is there is no bye’s the following round either.  Not until round 7 the Canes have a bye, so we are looking quite pretty for a few weeks.  But keep those Canes in consideration to move on also.

So that is it again for this round.  Any questions do not hesitate to hit us up on Twitter or Facebook.  Good luck over the next four rounds.


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Written by Zane Scheffner (@OTLS_Zano).

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4 Comments

  1. Disco

    January 3, 2019 at 3:30 pm

    AJ Tye B/E?

  2. Disco

    January 5, 2019 at 1:15 am

    AJ Tye?

  3. Carleton

    January 6, 2019 at 6:21 am

    So… I know Behrendorff or Maxwell won’t play Round 6… But what about Carey? He should be alright, right? Oh, and why hasn’t SueprCoach updated Round 5 yet? It finished ages ago…

    • Zane Scheffner

      January 6, 2019 at 11:00 am

      I would think he is fine. Their game is today, the 6th. Should be fine to play.

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