AFL Fantasy Rookie Wrap: Round 2

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Updated: April 5, 2018

Your rookie picks are vital for your Fantasy teams. If you want to really smash your mates or get a decent overall ranking, your team needs to generate cash, and it’s the cheap rookies who will do it for you.

Despite some of the carnage with our premium picks, there are a bunch of rookie picks which have emerged early as must have players.

Defence – Must haves

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Tom Doedee

Price: $254,000
Average: 79
BE: -20

Having been in the Crows system for a few years, Doedee (Doh-dee? Doo-deh? Dah-doo?) has finally made his mark in the seniors. With the departure of Lever, Doedee has made the spot his own, especially with a Rising Star nomination against the Tigers, with six marks and 25 disposals. If he can add a tackle or two to his game, he could be close to an all-season keeper

Jeremy Finlayson

Price: $247,000
Average: 77.5
BE: -23

With Wilson leaving West, and Zac Williams being out for the season, the shrewder Fantasy coaches would be looking closely at the GWS list to see who would take that Fantasy friendly rebounding defender role. If you haven’t got on him yet, do it now. His 90 last week against a pretty ballsy Collingwood side means you should play him on the field most weeks. 21 kicks and only two handballs would be making his owners drool.

Sam Murray

Price: $237,000
Average: 65
BE: -4

The former Swan had plied his trade in the NEAFL for a few years, but it has taken a move to Collingwood for him to finally see some senior action. The lad provides dash and run, and has basically cemented his spot in Collingwood’s best 22. Not quite as big a scorer as the previous two, but still up there with the best defence rookies early on in the season.

Defence – Best of the rest

Aaron Naughton

Price: $272,000
Average: 51
BE: 24

As a key defender, we shouldn’t be expecting scores much higher than this from the high draft pick. Has only increased in price by $18k, and might be prime to down/upgrade in a few weeks time. Still, seems to have good job security, so not the worst bench option.

Alex Pearce

Price: $228,000
Average: 49
BE: 12

A very underrated AFL player in my books, but still a key defender. Pearce is a great option for your last bench spot. Will play every game, and started at basement price.

Cam O’Shea

Price: $237,000
Average: 45
BE: 28

Luckily the former Port player wasn’t named in round 1, we all might have possibly dodged a bullet! Owned by 11% of the competition, compared to 29% for the similarly priced Naughton, O’Shea was a disappointment last week, only scoring 45. But then, Carlton were terrible… and O’Shea has averaged 70 in the past…

Other guys to keep an eye on are Adelaide’s Lachie Murphy (Price: $200,000, Ave: 47.5, BE: 2) who impressed with a 61 against Richmond, and Francis Watson from WCE, who could be up for a debut in the coming weeks.

Midfielders – Must have

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Tim Kelly

Price: $319,000
Average: 98
BE: -27

Oh Timmy, you little ripper! The mature age Sandover Medal winner has made himself a very valuable member of the Cats’ midfield, which is impressive considering the Trinity trio. He scored 115 against Hawks. That’s almost captain worthy. But don’t expect too many of these sort of scores, especially once Duncan and Scooter Selwood come back in the team.

Nick Holman

Price: $267,000
Average: 86.5
BE: -25

Unknown to many prior to round 1, unless you were a true Carlton fanatic, Holman has taken his second chance with both hands at the Suns, proving to be a useful Fantasy player too. Anyone who didn’t pick O’Meara should use this guy as the perfect example as to why you made the right call.

Dom Barry

Price: $245,000
Average: 71.5
BE: -13

A very similar situation to Holman, in that Barry was on the Melbourne list in the early 2010s, and has been given a second shot at Port. Has more than held his own in the 22, and his job security for the future looks solid. Safe for an on field spot most weeks.

Midfielders – Best of the rest

Ben Jacobs

Price: $286,000
Average: 72
BE: -7

Mostly known to Fantasy coaches as the devil incarnate, the tagger suddenly has come into a bit of Fantasy relevance due to a cheap starting price. An average of 70 isn’t too terrible, but it’s too late to jump on him now, and the three players above should be higher priorities if you don’t have them.

Bailey Banfield

Price: $224,000
Average: 61
BE: -6

Has made his debut for the Dockers, and has impressed early, especially with his pressure acts. Probably will be traded out in a month or so, but is doing all the right things so far. If you have to play him on your field, I’d be worried.

Brayshaw (BE 21), LDU (BE 25), Dow (BE 39)

This is the problem with taking a punt on high draft picks. With the high starting prices, anything less than a 75 average is a disappointment. And none of these three have impressed. Dow averages 42 in his two games, LDU 48.5, and Brayshaw 58. It’s rough to trade out these guys this early, and they might well improve, so holding isn’t the worst option. But if you don’t have Kelly, Holman, or Barry (in that order), a swap is definitely on the cards.

Midfielders to keep an eye on include Harrison Wigg, James Worpel, and Charlie Constable. Any of these guys could pull out Holman or even Kelly-like numbers if they are given a shot.

Ruck

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Tim English

Price: $241,000
Average: 56.5
BE: 12

He’s it for now. Don’t kid yourself otherwise. And if you were crazy enough to put him on field in Round 2, well, you deserve what you get. Ok, I may have done it too, but still! Just keep him on your Ruck bench, and don’t get any more crazy ideas!

Forwards – Must have

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Billy Gowers

Price: $224,000
Average: 61.5
BE: -8

Has turned into the Mich Hannan of 2018. For those who don’t know, last year Mitch Hannan debuted for Melbourne in Round 1, without playing any JLT games. And yet he became a very handy rookie for most of the year. In what has been a very poor start to the year for the Bulldogs, Gowers has been decent, with a 70 against the Eagles. If he keeps around that level, he’ll be a great rookie for us, and for this week he has the lowest breakeven of all forwards.

Liam Ryan

Price: $273,000
Average: 71
BE: -6

His 91 last week has boosted the excitement machine’s stocks from a Fantasy standpoint. There is high risk of him becoming a “rollercoaster”, but at this stage, I thiiiiink I’m enjoying it. Will be on field for me this week.

Zac (Giles?)-Langdon

Price: $220,000
Average: 57.5
BE: -2

NOTE: Langdon has suffered a hand injury and will be out for the next four weeks. Time to trade him out, however if you have other priorities, you can bench him, as he won’t be exactly losing cash over the next week or so.

Bailey Fritsch

Price: $269,000
Average: 67
BE: 3

Averaging well, and pretty consistently over the first two weeks. Good to see his JLT form carry through. Job security seems good also.

Forwards – Best of the rest

Daniel Venables

Price: $203,000
Average: 50
BE: -1

West Coast’s top draftee in 2017 had a toe injury which ruled him out of just over half of his first season. The dangerous forward has played well in his first two games, improving from a 33 in Round 1 to a 67 in Round 2 against the Bulldogs. Does this mean he’ll score well when the Eagles are winning? We’ll need to wait and see, but it could be a good indicator as to whether you field or bench the young forward.

Jake Waterman

Price: $206,000
Average: 49
BE:

If you’re one of the surprisingly high 34.6% of people that own him, be prepared to turf him when Kennedy returns from injury. As he is a key forward, there isn’t much scoring potential in him. Keep him on your bench and cross your fingers he can hold his spot once JJK returns.

Darcy Fogarty

Price: $270,000
Average: 50.5
BE: 26

Has been decent in his two games without setting the world on fire. It’s tricky to see him really holding a spot once Tom Lynch comes back though. With an average of only 50, the rookie forward isn’t exactly high up in scoring either.

Cameron Rayner

Price: $257,000
Average: 29.5
BE: 51

Get rid of him now, if you haven’t already. His breakeven is getting dangerously close to double his average. As the rookie with the highest starting price, he can be considered a major Fantasy failure. He’s already lost $13k.

Keep an eye on Keefe, Paul Ahern, and Jack Higgins for a rookie who can come in with either scoring or job security potential.


Written by Stephen Treloar @Steve_OTLS

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