RDT NBA Schedule Analysis – Week 7

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Updated: November 26, 2017

As we head into week 7 of the NBA season, we are starting to see the landscape correct itself. Orlando (8-10) and Detroit had (11-6) are starting to come back to about where we thought they would be after hot starts. Chicago and Sacramento still suck, Golden State is still awesome and Ben Simmons is the Messiah. However one team that continues to surprise are the 16-3 Boston Celtics.

After dropping their first two games of the season – understandably given the shocking injury to star off-season signing Gordon Hayward – they ripped off a massive 16 game winning streak. Keep in mind that during this streak, they also had to deal with injuries to their other two stars Al Horford and Kyrie Irving. Whilst all credit should be given to their stars, it is the younger players who are stepping up to get the Celts over the line. Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Terry Rozier have contributed more than even their biggest supporters could have hoped.

From a Fantasy point of view, Irving (21.7 Fppg) and Horford (23) lead the way, but the kids aren’t too far behind. Tatum (17.6) and Brown (16.6) have offered great value for money for those coaches who picked them up at the start of the year. As a comparison, lets compare Tatum against some other players from this year’s rookie class.

Ben Simmons (Phi) – 27.93

Markelle Fultz (Phi) – 4.5

Lonzo Ball (LAL) – 16.7

Josh Jackson (Pho) – 8.5

Lauri Markkanen (Chi) – 19.1

Kyle Kuzma (LAL) – 16.9

Dennis Smith Jr (Dal) – 12.4

Let’s just say one thing upfront. Ben Simmons is Rookie of the Year. He will win, and it will be daylight to second. Now, let’s have a look at the rest. The surprise of the pack is Chicago’s Lauri Markkanen, but delve a bit deeper and we get a more accurate picture. Markkanen is playing on a horrible team. It stands to reason that he will get more of the ball, as there are no stars on the team that he needs to defer to. Fultz is the obvious bust given he was taken at pick 1 in the 2017 draft. He may come back from injury with his shot mechanics fixed and ready to take the competition by storm.

It is not quite yet at the point where they have maxed out in price and you can look at trading them up to a star. We will revisit this in another couple of weeks.

Schedule Breakdown

Trade Targets – 8 Game Teams

Cleveland – If you don’t have LeBron James, do what you can to bring him in. He is leading the league in total Fantasy Points, and there is good reason that he is in the conversation for the greatest player of all time. Kevin Love has been playing well, but I fell like there is better value out there.

Detroit – The Stan Van Gundy coached Pistons are quietly putting together a very nice season. Currently sitting second in the Eastern Conference, they are not the easy-beats that everyone predicted at the start of the season. Andre Drummond is really the only player you would consider from the Pistons. Priced at $11.6 million and averaging 29 Fppg he has been the clear Fantasy stand out on the team. If you are looking at trading in a Centre this week (and I would then ask why you didn’t trade KAT in last week!) Drummond would be a solid unique choice given he is only in 3.4% of teams.

Orlando – As I mentioned above, the Orlando Magic have dropped back to the pack after a stellar start to the season. They could not maintain the shooting levels that had them with a 6-2 record. Aaron Gordon, Nikola Vucevic and Evan Fournier have all been serviceable, but not to the point where you would look to be picking them up. Just stay away from Magic players, there are better options out there.

Philadelphia – If you are not one of the 80% of coaches that have Ben Simmons, fix it. Fix it now! The Aussie wonder-kid is ripping it up both on the court, and for Fantasy coaches. He is averaging 27.9 Fppg, and hasn’t looked like hitting the rookie wall. He is still well priced for what he is putting out, and could even sneak into Dos‘s Top 5 Captain options this week I reckon. If he doesn’t get a mention, we may need to have words.

San Antonio – My first mistake for this season (and I have made many since) was bringing in LaMarcus Aldridge – and making him captain – after he had been on tear for the first 2 weeks. I was suitably rewarded with 4 very mediocre scores, and a drop down the overall rankings. Once again, there is not much from a Fantasy perspective here. If you are thinking about Aldridge, just go and get Karl-Anthony Towns. It is a much safer option.


Cut them to the G-League

There are three teams this week who only have the two games – Atlanta, Charlotte and Toronto.

Atlanta – Let’s face it: no one has any players from Atlanta on their team. Here is a bunch of Dominique highlights to look at instead.

Charlotte –Another team with very low ownership numbers, so no one really to talk about dropping. Someone to keep an eye on however is Dwight Howard. He is starting to do Dwight Howard things again, though for how long is hard to know. He dropped 41 Fantasy points on KAT and the T-wolves this week, and followed that up with a 35 against Washington and 25 against King James. Sure, it’s a downward trend, but if he continues to put up numbers like this, have a good look at him in Week 8 when the Hornets have 4 games.

Toronto – This is a really boring week for 2 game teams. Toronto only have DeMar DeRozan who is marginally relevant. If you are one of the 6.7% of coaches who have him, drop him this week.


Lockout Details

 

As always, keep an ear to the ground for injury news, especially if the team involved has a late start to the week, you may just be able to do a late trade and get a jump on the competition. Charlotte and Toronto are a couple of teams you can hold a trade for if you have any of those players. If you do hold a trade, look to bring in a Pelicans player if you can, as they also have a late start, and have 3 games this week, and 4 games next week.

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Written by Archie Keeler (@OTLSArchie)

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2 Comments

  1. Joel

    November 27, 2017 at 1:20 pm

    Think u have missed someone from Atlanta maybe Collins been killing it as a rookie pf

    • Jayden Keeler

      November 27, 2017 at 2:43 pm

      Yeah, he has done pretty well. Not highly owned though.

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